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New Little Ice Age
Enviado: 12 Jan 2009, 21:24
por Tarcísio
http://bourabai.narod.ru/landscheidt/new-e.htmAnalysis of the sun's varying activity in the last two millennia indicates that contrary to the IPCC's speculation about man-made global warming as high as 5.8° C within the next hundred years, a long period of cool climate with its coldest phase around 2030 is to be expected. It is shown that minima in the 80 to 90-year Gleissberg cycle of solar activity, coinciding with periods of cool climate on Earth, are consistently linked to an 83-year cycle in the change of the rotary force driving the sun's oscillatory motion about the centre of mass of the solar system. As the future course of this cycle and its amplitudes can be computed, it can be seen that the Gleissberg minimum around 2030 and another one around 2200 will be of the Maunder minimum type accompanied by severe cooling on Earth. This forecast should prove skillful as other long-range forecasts of climate phenomena, based on cycles in the sun's orbital motion, have turned out correct as for instance the prediction of the last three El Niños years before the respective event.
Re: New Little Ice Age
Enviado: 12 Jan 2009, 23:29
por Apo
Vi um documentário grande sobre isto estes dias. A despeito da teoria ( e observação mesmo) do aquecimento global, o Sol poderá entrar em uma fase de menos atividade, podendo esfriar a atmosfera terrestre a partir de 2060.
Re: New Little Ice Age
Enviado: 13 Jan 2009, 06:24
por Fernando Silva
Ótimo. Frio (moderado) é civilização.
Re: New Little Ice Age
Enviado: 13 Jan 2009, 12:45
por joaomichelazzo
Tarcísio escreveu:http://bourabai.narod.ru/landscheidt/new-e.htm
Analysis of the sun's varying activity in the last two millennia indicates that contrary to the IPCC's speculation about man-made global warming as high as 5.8° C within the next hundred years, a long period of cool climate with its coldest phase around 2030 is to be expected. It is shown that minima in the 80 to 90-year Gleissberg cycle of solar activity, coinciding with periods of cool climate on Earth, are consistently linked to an 83-year cycle in the change of the rotary force driving the sun's oscillatory motion about the centre of mass of the solar system. As the future course of this cycle and its amplitudes can be computed, it can be seen that the Gleissberg minimum around 2030 and another one around 2200 will be of the Maunder minimum type accompanied by severe cooling on Earth. This forecast should prove skillful as other long-range forecasts of climate phenomena, based on cycles in the sun's orbital motion, have turned out correct as for instance the prediction of the last three El Niños years before the respective event.
E deus?
Vai deixar isso acontecer?
Re: New Little Ice Age
Enviado: 13 Jan 2009, 15:48
por Apo
Fernando Silva escreveu:Ótimo. Frio (moderado) é civilização.
Concordo. Por isto adoro o sul. Se bem que no verão, têm-se que se usar desodorante aqui também.
Calor demais é sinal de pobreza eminente.
Re: New Little Ice Age
Enviado: 13 Jan 2009, 15:52
por Apo
joaomichelazzo escreveu:Tarcísio escreveu:http://bourabai.narod.ru/landscheidt/new-e.htm
Analysis of the sun's varying activity in the last two millennia indicates that contrary to the IPCC's speculation about man-made global warming as high as 5.8° C within the next hundred years, a long period of cool climate with its coldest phase around 2030 is to be expected. It is shown that minima in the 80 to 90-year Gleissberg cycle of solar activity, coinciding with periods of cool climate on Earth, are consistently linked to an 83-year cycle in the change of the rotary force driving the sun's oscillatory motion about the centre of mass of the solar system. As the future course of this cycle and its amplitudes can be computed, it can be seen that the Gleissberg minimum around 2030 and another one around 2200 will be of the Maunder minimum type accompanied by severe cooling on Earth. This forecast should prove skillful as other long-range forecasts of climate phenomena, based on cycles in the sun's orbital motion, have turned out correct as for instance the prediction of the last three El Niños years before the respective event.
E deus?
Vai deixar isso acontecer?
Vai. É a Nova Era que se aproxima. Ou Jesus que está voltando. Ou o surgir de uma nova consciência ( que já está "lá fora" e só os cegos de espírito não veem). Tem um monte de teorias esdrúxula por aí.
Há que ter fé. A Lei de Deus nos foge completamente. Mas devemos aceitar. Por isto estamos dando uma mãozinha e ajudando no projeto.
